|
|
Prediction for CME (2024-12-10T09:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2024-12-10T09:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35557/-1 CME Note: A very slow CME/outflow that follows even slower outflows/fronts that start as early as 2024-12-10T02Z. The source of it could be continuous activity in AR 3920 since this morning (~ location N22E37 at 02Z) which is marked by brightening in SUVI 195. After 08Z there is a minor dimming around this Active Region which could mark the eruption that might be associated with the 2024-12-10T09:53Z front. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-15T08:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -564.95 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z |
|
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers. Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy |